Liberals Hold 21-Point Lead

Liberal 12-point lead holds as focus on Trump fades slightly - Abacus Data

Our latest national tracking survey was conducted from October 2 to 13, 2026, as the federal government continues to navigate an uncertain economic environment, ongoing tensions with the United States, and persistent concerns about affordability. Since our previous survey in late September, the Carney government has continued to emphasize economic growth, investment, and affordability. The […]

A nation looking south – Trump, US relations and economic concerns shape the political landscape. LPC 48.8, CPC 29.5, NDP 11.1. (Nanos) – Nanos Research

The Liberals remain ahead in federal voting intentions, with 48.8% support among decided voters compared with 29.5% for the Conservatives and 11.1% for the NDP. Mark Carney is the first choice for prime minister among 60.7% of Canadians, followed by Pierre Poilievre at 20.9%. Concern about Donald Trump and Canada-U.S. relations ranks as the country’s leading national issue. Jobs and the economy are the second most frequently cited concern, follo…

Federal Tracker: Liberals 45%, Conservatives 29%; Poilievre Ratings Worsen

Liberals lead by 16 points. Poilievre is at 32% favourable and 55% unfavourable, while Lewis improves to 35% favourable without lifting the NDP above 15%.

Liberals Hold 21-Point Lead

[Ottawa – October 11, 2026] Seventeen months into their mandate, the Carney-led Liberals enjoy a 21-point lead over the second-place Conservatives. At 47 per cent nationally, the Liberals would win a massive majority of an election were held tomorrow. The Conservative Party is stuck at 26 per cent, while the third-place NDP is at 15 per cent. [...]