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Big banks post strong Q3 profits, but warn higher rates and inflation could bite

  • On Tuesday, October 13, the dollar slipped from 18-month highs as oil prices retreated and investors shifted focus to the Federal Reserve's rate path ahead of key economic data.
  • Markets are pricing in an 80% chance the Fed will stand pat this month, up from 51% a month earlier, as traders bet Middle East tensions will remain contained ahead of US midterm elections next month.
  • Wednesday's Consumer Price Index for September is expected to show annual inflation accelerating to 3.6% from 3.4%, providing crucial signals about possible Fed policy tightening.
  • Senior foreign exchange strategist at HSBC Daragh Maher said "one CPI release may not be enough to undo a pause narrative that senior officials have seemed keen to establish."
  • Even as policymakers argue for gathering more evidence before further hikes, CME FedWatch tool data shows traders pricing in about 75 basis points of tightening by late 2027.
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Inflation in the US stood at 3.7 percent in September. "The inflation problem is solidifying. This is a great disappointment for the American Central Bank," says economist Jörg Krämer in conversation with Dietmar Deffner.

·Berlin, Germany
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borskollen.se broke the news on Thursday, October 8, 2026.
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